(urth) math probability question for seven American nights

Marc Aramini marcaramini at gmail.com
Sun Sep 7 05:34:02 PDT 2014


I had a quick question but trying to articulate it to look it up
independently is hard.

Is there a statistically most probable day for Nadan to eat the special one
of the six eggs on any given day given that the first day is 1/6 and then
from there the probability that the egg is there begins to be something
like 1/5  on the next day ( but the chance that it isn't there should be
factored in somehow, but I wasn't sure if it was 1/5 - 1/6 ... Then
1/4-1/5-1/6 etc. ) Or is the system set up in such a way that the chance of
getting the egg is always 1/6 regardless on any given morning assuming no
eggs are stolen or disappear?
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